Friday, March 5, 2010

Everyone gone for the weekend, so the CBO updates their budget outlook

The "nonpartisan" Congressional Budget Office chose to release its new predictions about the upcoming decade's deficits right as people leave the office for the weekend.

From TheHill:

Annual deficits under Obama’s budget plan would be about $976 billion from 2011 through 2020, according to a CBO analysis of Obama's plan released Friday.
The Obama administration estimated its policies would lead to an average annual budget shortfall of $853 billion for the next 10 years.
The difference is that Obama’s estimate expects more tax revenue
"It's not that the administration has a rosy scenario, but the CBO is a little less optimistic about income growth," said Jim Horney,director of federal fiscal policy at the left-leaning Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.

Actually, Jim, assuming a rosier scenario based on higher estimated taxes is exactly what the administration is doing. This is why I freak out so much over long-term forecasts for unemployment rates from the Fed, because they can lead to higher-than-appropriate estimates of taxes in the future...

It's interesting to see the CBO's predictions for the 10 year treasury:

Copyright 2010 AlphaNinja

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